New Poll Confirms Strong Support for Green Line and a Tight Mayor’s Race
October 11, 2017 - Today, the LRT on the Green Foundation released a scientific poll of Calgarians which confirms that there there is strong support for the Green Line among Calgarians. The LRT on the Green Foundation decided to commission a public opinion poll after a leading candidate for mayor stated that he would delay and re-evaluate the project.
“We were very surprised and concerned that someone who could be Calgary’s next mayor would consider delaying the Green Line given how desperate the need is for it,” said LRT on the Green Foundation President Jeff Binks. “We’ve had five years of some of the most exhaustive consultations in Calgary’s history. There has been literally thousands of hours of public engagement with the communities and residents who live along the route who have invested significant time and energy in developing this plan”.
“We firmly believed that there was strong support for both the Green Line vision that was approved by Council and the plan to proceed with construction of the fully-funded Stage 1,” said Binks. “This poll confirms that we were right and that Calgarians are standing behind the vision they played such a large role in creating.”
To ensure that our poll was based on sound methodology the LRT on the Green Foundation sought the advice of experts to ensure that we retained an excellent service provider.
The poll was conducted by AskingCanadians and uses an online panel, which is considered by experts to be more accurate than IVR “robo-dial” polls. The poll was conducted between October 7 and 10.
The poll results are very clear:
- 70% of Calgarians support the full 46 km route and 28 stations for the Green Line to be built in stages as approved by City Council
- 77% of Calgarians support proceeding with the 20 km phase one the Green Line which has been fully funded the municipal, provincial and federal governments.
- 70% of Calgarians oppose delaying construction of the Green Line
- 57% of Calgarians agree that a candidate’s position on the Green Line will impact their vote this election.
The poll also asked respondents about the current mayoral race:
When asked which mayoral candidate do you intend to vote for, the results were as follows:
- Andre Chabot 3%
- Naheed Nenshi 41%
- Bill Smith 26%
- Other 2%
- Don’t know / Not sure 28%
Although only 20 km in length, Stage 1 of the Green Line LRT still represents the largest investment in public transit in Alberta’s history. The City of Calgary estimates that each year the project is delayed, the cost of the project will increase by $100 million per year.
“Calgarians can’t afford a delay to stage 1 of the Green Line. The suggestion that the downtown portion should be eliminated in order to push the LRT further to the south or the north means one half of the city wins while the other half loses.” said Binks. “We don’t feel that’s an acceptable outcome for this project or this city and strongly recommend that Calgarians take the position of candidates on the Green Line into consideration on Oct 16.”
Downloads Poll Results and Video Message:
For more information, please contact:
Jeff Binks at 011 44 7380 263603 (UK)
Jeff will be holding a media availability via Google Hangouts at 2:30 today. To join the video conference, visit: https://plus.google.com/
We recommend using the latest versions of Chrome or Firefox browsers for best results.
Please Note: Duane Bratt (403-831-6540) of Mount Royal University has indicated he is willing to speak to media today about the polling methodology.
About the Poll:
AskingCanadians, a Delvinia company, is an online data collection firm with access to a research community of more than one million Canadians who have opted-in to participate in online surveys that significantly influence today’s leading brands. Established in 2005, AskingCanadians owns and manages the AskingCanadians online research community and its French counterpart Qu’en pensez vous. AskingCanadians and Qu’en pensez vous are built through incentive partnerships with Aeroplan, Hudson’s Bay Rewards, Walmart, PETRO-POINTS and VIA Préférence, resulting in an average response rate that eclipses the industry. For more information, visit corporate.askingcanadians.com.
Mode of data collection: Online – Internet panel, self complete.
Internet panel was selected as a means for data collection given need to ensure proper distribution and reflection of Calgary’s voting population, and that 90%+ of Calgarians are online. This includes many panel members that respond to surveys on smart phones, and thus a way to engage cell-phone only households. In Calgary, given the timeframe and relative youth of population compared to other centres, the incidence of landlines is lower, and cell phones higher.
Field Dates: October 7-10, 2017.
1004 respondents. This online survey utilizes a representative but non-random sample, therefore margin of error is not applicable. However, a probability sample of this size would yield a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence interval.
Respondent quotas established to ensure data are population representative.
Data presented are weighted to reflect population of adult voters 18 years and older. Data obtained was rebalanced by age and gender as per the 2017 City of Calgary civic census.
Accuracy of sub-samples of the data decline based on sample sizes.
About LRT on the Green:
Formed in 2014, LRT on the Green is a not-for-profit organization with the mission to unite Calgarians in the desire to have LRT operating on the Green Line in both the North Central and South East corridors by the year 2026. Our members represent various business, developer and community stakeholders who have an interest in seeing LRT on the Green Line sooner, rather than later. They provide us with ideas and feedback to help us shape the direction of the Foundation and our advocacy efforts.
Jeff Binks – President
C: 011 44 7380 263603 (currently in the UK)